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Bitcoin Price Nears $72K After 5% Surge - Is BTC Ready for a Breakout to $78K?

Nahid
Published: March 4, 2026
4 min read
Bitcoin Price Nears $72K After 5% Surge - Is BTC Ready for a Breakout to $78K?

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Summary:

  • Bitcoin surged 5% during Wednesday's Asia trading session, climbing past $71,000.
  • BTC crossed key technical levels, including the 200-week EMA and the 2021 all-time high near $69,000.
  • Analysts suggest a major accumulation phase may be ending.
  • Geopolitical tensions and oil market uncertainty continue to influence volatility.
  • Traders are watching $74K-$78K as the next resistance zone if momentum holds.

Bitcoin pushed past $71,000 on Wednesday, marking its highest level in nearly a month as renewed volatility swept through global markets. During the Asia trading session, BTC price action accelerated sharply, posting a 5% gain on the day, according to data from TradingView  

The move comes after weeks of choppy price behavior that saw Bitcoin repeatedly fail to hold above $70,000 since January. This time, however, momentum appeared stronger. The rally carried BTC above several important technical markers, including the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA),  long-term trend indicator widely followed by traders and the previous 2021 all-time high around $69,000. These levels matter because they often represent psychological barriers. When price decisively clears them, it can move sentiment. The latest surge unfolded against a backdrop of rising geopolitical tension, particularly surrounding oil markets and concerns tied to the Strait of Hormuz. While traditional markets reacted with caution, Bitcoin once again demonstrated its tendency to move sharply during periods of macro uncertainty.

Still, the question now is whether this rally represents the start of a broader breakout or another temporary spike within a larger consolidation range.

Analysts Say 'Decisional Time' Has Arrived

Several traders and analysts weighed in as Bitcoin approached critical resistance levels. Lars Kooistra, known as The Composite Trader, described the current structure as a prolonged accumulation phase. In a post shared with followers, he said:

"Right now it is decisional time, we have an extremely extended accumulation schematic which usually causes two potential scenarios: Aggressively close above the range high = search for buyside liquidity Deviate the range high followed by bearish break = full bearish reversal towards the lows."

 

Accumulation refers to a period when large investors gradually build positions without causing dramatic price spikes. If that phase is indeed ending, it could signal the beginning of a stronger directional move. Another trader, Alan Tardigrade, pointed to a technical shift involving a descending trendline that had capped price action for weeks. After Tuesday's breakout, he noted:

"#Bitcoin is holding above the Descending Trendline after yesterday's breakout 🔥"

A successful retest of a broken trendline often strengthens bullish conviction, as former resistance becomes new support. Meanwhile, trader Moustache adopted an even more optimistic tone, stating:

"The journey to new ATHs for $BTC has begun. Altcoins will outperform,"

His interpretation suggests that if Bitcoin continues climbing, it could eventually challenge new all-time highs, with alternative cryptocurrencies potentially benefiting even more from renewed risk appetite. Despite the bullish signals, analysts remain aware that Bitcoin has struggled to sustain moves above $70,000 in recent months. The coming daily and weekly closes may provide clearer direction.

What's Next for BTC 

While technical momentum appears to favor bulls, broader macro conditions add complexity to the outlook. Global markets remain sensitive to geopolitical developments in the Middle East, particularly around oil supply routes such as the Strait of Hormuz. Any escalation could fuel further volatility across asset classes, including cryptocurrencies. From a technical standpoint, traders are watching the next resistance band carefully. A well-known trader called Batman shared his perspective, saying:

"The current pump is looking strong, and if price manages to break out from the Fibonacci high level, then $74K - $78K is the next resistance zone." Source

The Fibonacci level referenced here is a mathematical retracement tool used by traders to identify potential support and resistance zones. If Bitcoin clears this area with strong volume, the path toward $74,000 to $78,000 could open. On the downside, failure to hold above $69,000 - the previous cycle's all-time high could weaken bullish momentum. Markets often retest breakout zones before continuing higher, so short-term pullbacks would not necessarily invalidate the broader setup. Bitcoin is interacting with long-term trendlines, historical highs and widely watched moving averages all at once. When such signals align, volatility tends to expand.

Whether this rally marks the beginning of a sustained push toward new record highs or another test of investor patience will likely depend on follow-through buying pressure and the broader macro backdrop. For now, Bitcoin has regained momentum and reclaimed critical levels. If bulls can defend these gains and push decisively above the current range, the next few weeks could define the trajectory for the remainder of the quarter.

READ MORE: SpaceX Bitcoin Holdings Drop to $562M Ahead of Expected IPO Filing

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About the Author

Nahid

Nahid

Nahid is a contributor at CotiNews from Bangladesh, covering developments across the COTI ecosystem. His work focuses on breaking down complex updates, technical concepts, and ecosystem news into clear, accessible stories for a wider audience.

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